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Thursday, February 4, 2010
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
The Zodiac Investor
Dear All,
According to your sun sign choose your zodiac and read zodiac traits.
Best of Luck to all
Regards,
Jinendra Kumar Porwal (Advisor)
"Riddhi Siddhi" Estate,
1, Gokul Nagar (Commercial)
Near Bohra Ganesh Ji Temple,Udaipur (Rajasthan)313001.
Phone: 0294- 2471358 & 3201157
Mobile : 9351445025, 9829353219,9352047407 & 9460700906
E-mail: jinendraporwal@rediffmail.com
Website:
http://mutualfundadvisor-jinendraporwal.blogspot.com/
http://insuranceadvisor.friendpages.com/
Deals in: All Mutual Funds , Birla Sunlife Insurance,General Insurance, Health Insurance & DEMAT Account in Reliance Money
Note: To Read in visible just click on the picture
According to your sun sign choose your zodiac and read zodiac traits.
Best of Luck to all
Regards,
Jinendra Kumar Porwal (Advisor)
"Riddhi Siddhi" Estate,
1, Gokul Nagar (Commercial)
Near Bohra Ganesh Ji Temple,Udaipur (Rajasthan)313001.
Phone: 0294- 2471358 & 3201157
Mobile : 9351445025, 9829353219,9352047407 & 9460700906
E-mail: jinendraporwal@rediffmail.com
Website:
http://mutualfundadvisor-jinendraporwal.blogspot.com/
http://insuranceadvisor.friendpages.com/
Deals in: All Mutual Funds , Birla Sunlife Insurance,General Insurance, Health Insurance & DEMAT Account in Reliance Money
Note: To Read in visible just click on the picture
Monday, February 1, 2010
Investing early pays better in long term
It is a known fact that thinking about investments early in life helps a lot but there is no definition for 'early'. For instance, in the last few decades investors aren't thinking about investing in property after retirement but well before it. In certain cases, young professionals are picking up property even before marriage and family.
So, the starting age for investing has been sliding down and as a result, the risk-taking ability has gone up substantially as the young have the courage to be aggressive.
Interestingly, not all young investors think they need to be aggressive with their investment options. Since the choice of products is influenced by the parents or their style of investing, many end up investing in a conservative way. In many cases, the products are chosen without much knowledge or proper understanding.
Here are some tips for young investors:
Choose according to your need
No product would fit the needs of different individuals and hence the choice of products is crucial for any investor. If you are beginning the investment process, make sure to understand the risks or features thoroughly. For instance, if you are not comfortable with long payment periods, avoid products like insurance or public provident fund as they expect long payment tenures. Though insurance offers the flexibility of short tenures, it would not be rewarding.
Think long term
The advantage of starting early would be defeated if you don't continue with the investment process for long. For instance, saving Rs 1,000 at 25 is good provided you do it for the next 30 years. On the contrary, saving the money for just a year will do no good.
Take risks as you have age on your side
At a young age, it is natural to feel uncomfortable with the nuances of money. Managing personal wealth is always a difficult task when compared with professional money. Yet, the task gets easier because of the long tenure money enjoys. The advantage of a long period of investing should also enable the investor to take risks by investing in products like equity which carry higher risk.
However, if one holds on to an investment for a long time or invests in a systematic way, the risk gets mitigated.
Review at regular intervals
Starting early has its own advantages, but generally, an investor ends up taking small steps towards investing. Hence, it may not be sufficient to meet long-term growing needs in line with the changing times. For instance, a mid-sized property may not be good enough when the size of the family expands, and the fixed deposit balance might well become the average savings balance a decade later.
So, review at regular intervals is a necessity and should be done in real earnest. While setting up a goal early in life is a big motivator, the goal in itself is a moving target. Hence, review your long-term goals at least once in 5-7 years and make the needed re-allocation accordingly.
So, the starting age for investing has been sliding down and as a result, the risk-taking ability has gone up substantially as the young have the courage to be aggressive.
Interestingly, not all young investors think they need to be aggressive with their investment options. Since the choice of products is influenced by the parents or their style of investing, many end up investing in a conservative way. In many cases, the products are chosen without much knowledge or proper understanding.
Here are some tips for young investors:
Choose according to your need
No product would fit the needs of different individuals and hence the choice of products is crucial for any investor. If you are beginning the investment process, make sure to understand the risks or features thoroughly. For instance, if you are not comfortable with long payment periods, avoid products like insurance or public provident fund as they expect long payment tenures. Though insurance offers the flexibility of short tenures, it would not be rewarding.
Think long term
The advantage of starting early would be defeated if you don't continue with the investment process for long. For instance, saving Rs 1,000 at 25 is good provided you do it for the next 30 years. On the contrary, saving the money for just a year will do no good.
Take risks as you have age on your side
At a young age, it is natural to feel uncomfortable with the nuances of money. Managing personal wealth is always a difficult task when compared with professional money. Yet, the task gets easier because of the long tenure money enjoys. The advantage of a long period of investing should also enable the investor to take risks by investing in products like equity which carry higher risk.
However, if one holds on to an investment for a long time or invests in a systematic way, the risk gets mitigated.
Review at regular intervals
Starting early has its own advantages, but generally, an investor ends up taking small steps towards investing. Hence, it may not be sufficient to meet long-term growing needs in line with the changing times. For instance, a mid-sized property may not be good enough when the size of the family expands, and the fixed deposit balance might well become the average savings balance a decade later.
So, review at regular intervals is a necessity and should be done in real earnest. While setting up a goal early in life is a big motivator, the goal in itself is a moving target. Hence, review your long-term goals at least once in 5-7 years and make the needed re-allocation accordingly.
Volatile markets offer value buys for long-term investors
The domestic equity markets gave a stellar performance last year where indices almost doubled from their lows in the same year. It may be a while before this feat happens again and 2010 may well turn out to be not so smooth a ride at least in the first half. The steady upmove has made the markets one of the most expensive equity markets and has led to concerns on excesses in valuations.
This coupled with apprehensions on inflation and earnings, potential tightening of interest rates and possible government action to reduce the fiscal deficit has sent the markets on a tailspin. With important events such as the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) monetary policy review followed by the Union Budget on the way, the markets would be driven by expectations and hence be quite volatile during this period.
Most investors approach market volatility with fear. More often than not, investors shift to safer bets when volatility in the market increases. Since the longterm growth story here looks good, any downside should be looked at as an opportunity to enter the markets.
Last year, the markets doubled in less than six months and this left many investors on the sidelines. The pace of the rise was so swift that many investors could not enter the markets. The next few months may provide ample opportunities to enter the markets.
Since the markets are expected to be volatile, here are some strategies investors can employ to make the volatility work to their advantage:
Invest in sectors not affected by inflation
One of the toughest tasks for the government this year would be to keep inflation under check. While supplyside constraints are being given due cognizance, sooner or later, the government will try to control the excess liquidity in the system through monetary policy changes.
While an increase in interest rates would affect bottomlines of many businesses, certain sectors such as education, healthcare, pharma, IT and FMCG will continue to perform.
For instance, the expansion in healthcare will continue due to growing awareness among masses on healthcare services. Though prices of goods will rise, the use of fast-moving consumer durables is related to necessity and lifestyle, and hence demand is unlikely to be restricted.
Investors would do well to add some of these defensive sector stocks to their investment portfolio.
Identify and invest in value stocks
Some sectors and specific stocks generally tend to get beaten down owing to certain short-term events. However, if you were to study the robustness of their business and future growth potential, the beaten down price may offer great value.
Investors should try to identify good stocks which are out of favour due to certain short-term concerns and are at prices which offer ample margin of safety. In the medium to long terms, these could turn out to be your best investments.
Volatile markets often present opportunities to enter. After you have decided which sectors and stocks to invest in, use every dip in the market as a buying opportunity.
Spreading investments over a period of time allows you to average out your costs in good stocks if the markets were to slide further.
Since the markets are expected to be volatile with a negative bias, certain bluechip stocks which had become quite expensive in the last rally may come down to realistic levels. Hence, in addition to mid-caps, largecap stocks may also present good opportunities.
Volatile market conditions offer investors with a longterm outlook an opportunity to build a portfolio of fundamentally-strong stocks at the right price. Investors who have the patience to tide over the volatile times without panicking will certainly be rewarded in the future.
This coupled with apprehensions on inflation and earnings, potential tightening of interest rates and possible government action to reduce the fiscal deficit has sent the markets on a tailspin. With important events such as the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) monetary policy review followed by the Union Budget on the way, the markets would be driven by expectations and hence be quite volatile during this period.
Most investors approach market volatility with fear. More often than not, investors shift to safer bets when volatility in the market increases. Since the longterm growth story here looks good, any downside should be looked at as an opportunity to enter the markets.
Last year, the markets doubled in less than six months and this left many investors on the sidelines. The pace of the rise was so swift that many investors could not enter the markets. The next few months may provide ample opportunities to enter the markets.
Since the markets are expected to be volatile, here are some strategies investors can employ to make the volatility work to their advantage:
Invest in sectors not affected by inflation
One of the toughest tasks for the government this year would be to keep inflation under check. While supplyside constraints are being given due cognizance, sooner or later, the government will try to control the excess liquidity in the system through monetary policy changes.
While an increase in interest rates would affect bottomlines of many businesses, certain sectors such as education, healthcare, pharma, IT and FMCG will continue to perform.
For instance, the expansion in healthcare will continue due to growing awareness among masses on healthcare services. Though prices of goods will rise, the use of fast-moving consumer durables is related to necessity and lifestyle, and hence demand is unlikely to be restricted.
Investors would do well to add some of these defensive sector stocks to their investment portfolio.
Identify and invest in value stocks
Some sectors and specific stocks generally tend to get beaten down owing to certain short-term events. However, if you were to study the robustness of their business and future growth potential, the beaten down price may offer great value.
Investors should try to identify good stocks which are out of favour due to certain short-term concerns and are at prices which offer ample margin of safety. In the medium to long terms, these could turn out to be your best investments.
Volatile markets often present opportunities to enter. After you have decided which sectors and stocks to invest in, use every dip in the market as a buying opportunity.
Spreading investments over a period of time allows you to average out your costs in good stocks if the markets were to slide further.
Since the markets are expected to be volatile with a negative bias, certain bluechip stocks which had become quite expensive in the last rally may come down to realistic levels. Hence, in addition to mid-caps, largecap stocks may also present good opportunities.
Volatile market conditions offer investors with a longterm outlook an opportunity to build a portfolio of fundamentally-strong stocks at the right price. Investors who have the patience to tide over the volatile times without panicking will certainly be rewarded in the future.
Results, correction offer opportunity for investors
The results declared by the corporates for the third quarter so far have been good. Out of the 767 companies' results that are available, the revenue figures have gone up by around 18 percent and the profit or PAT growth has been around 45 percent. The revenue growth is an important indication of recovery. The second quarter results had shown an increase in the bottomlines rather than toplines due to cost cutting and suppressed commodity prices.
Hence, the December 2009 results assumed importance to indicate revenue growth, and economic recovery taking place in the country.
Auto and energy sectors shine
The increase in the revenue growth was contributed by the auto sector, which grew by around 55 percent, real estate by 62 percent and energy sector that grew by 46 percent. In contrast, sectors like fertilizers declined by 36 percent. This shows that the recovery is sector-specific and in select sectors.
The auto sector has moved from strength to strength since the day excise duty was rolled back as a part of the stimulus package. The quarterly performance of engineering companies has been a mixed bag so far. The engineering companies have seen many projects face delays on various fronts.
These include delays in financial closures, execution issues, funding problems from the client's side amidst ongoing execution of a project etc. The surprise element in this quarter's earnings was the energy sector. Due to suppressed prices the volume growth has been high as shown in the revenue numbers.
Interest rate and costs crucial
In the last few quarters, including the current one, companies benefited from lower overhead costs and lower raw material costs. But in the next few quarters, increasing raw material costs will impact the bottomlines, especially in the auto sector, which has reported such stellar numbers.
If there is an interest rate hike, the higher interest rate regime will also hit the toplines in the auto sector where the predominant buying is on borrowed money. So, to an extent, sales could be slightly lower than what investors are expecting. Hence, the impact of these two factors should be watched for early indications of earnings status in the fourth quarter.
Investment strategy
A series of changes has brought about a steep fall in the stock markets. Firstly, China had started withdrawing stimulus measures, which was followed by the US President's proposal to prevent US banks from engaging directly in some of their most profitable lines of business - proprietary trading.
A substantial part of the foreign institutional investor (FII) funds invested in emerging markets is through proprietary trading. Hence, the concerns and sell-offs in emerging markets are attributed to this change in regulation.
Correction offers opportunity
These steep corrections will provide opportunities for investors to buy quality stocks at reasonable valuations. This year, the markets will be ruled by three broad factors - earnings visibility, global recovery and extent of government reforms. While one can be optimistic on all these factors, a major issue the economy will face this year is the withdrawal of the stimulus - on both the monetary and fiscal fronts.
How it would impact the economy remains to be seen. Investors at this juncture should adopt a wait and watch policy till the budget. A good level of clarity will emerge then. Going by the third quarter results, IT, energy, auto and FMCG sectors can be chosen for investments after the on-going correction.
Hence, the December 2009 results assumed importance to indicate revenue growth, and economic recovery taking place in the country.
Auto and energy sectors shine
The increase in the revenue growth was contributed by the auto sector, which grew by around 55 percent, real estate by 62 percent and energy sector that grew by 46 percent. In contrast, sectors like fertilizers declined by 36 percent. This shows that the recovery is sector-specific and in select sectors.
The auto sector has moved from strength to strength since the day excise duty was rolled back as a part of the stimulus package. The quarterly performance of engineering companies has been a mixed bag so far. The engineering companies have seen many projects face delays on various fronts.
These include delays in financial closures, execution issues, funding problems from the client's side amidst ongoing execution of a project etc. The surprise element in this quarter's earnings was the energy sector. Due to suppressed prices the volume growth has been high as shown in the revenue numbers.
Interest rate and costs crucial
In the last few quarters, including the current one, companies benefited from lower overhead costs and lower raw material costs. But in the next few quarters, increasing raw material costs will impact the bottomlines, especially in the auto sector, which has reported such stellar numbers.
If there is an interest rate hike, the higher interest rate regime will also hit the toplines in the auto sector where the predominant buying is on borrowed money. So, to an extent, sales could be slightly lower than what investors are expecting. Hence, the impact of these two factors should be watched for early indications of earnings status in the fourth quarter.
Investment strategy
A series of changes has brought about a steep fall in the stock markets. Firstly, China had started withdrawing stimulus measures, which was followed by the US President's proposal to prevent US banks from engaging directly in some of their most profitable lines of business - proprietary trading.
A substantial part of the foreign institutional investor (FII) funds invested in emerging markets is through proprietary trading. Hence, the concerns and sell-offs in emerging markets are attributed to this change in regulation.
Correction offers opportunity
These steep corrections will provide opportunities for investors to buy quality stocks at reasonable valuations. This year, the markets will be ruled by three broad factors - earnings visibility, global recovery and extent of government reforms. While one can be optimistic on all these factors, a major issue the economy will face this year is the withdrawal of the stimulus - on both the monetary and fiscal fronts.
How it would impact the economy remains to be seen. Investors at this juncture should adopt a wait and watch policy till the budget. A good level of clarity will emerge then. Going by the third quarter results, IT, energy, auto and FMCG sectors can be chosen for investments after the on-going correction.
ELSS में निवेश से टैक्स बचत और रिटर्न दोनों
आप इस उधेड़बुन में होंगे कि टैक्स बचाने के लिए कहां पैसा लगाएं। इसके लिए आखिरी तारीख 31 मार्च है। बाजार में कई ऐसे जरिए हैं, जो सुरक्षा के वादे के साथ टैक्स बचत का दावा कर रहे हैं। अगर आपने अभी तक टैक्स बचत के लिए निवेश नहीं किया है तो किसी जानकार को सैलरी स्टेटमेंट दिखाकर टैक्स योग्य आमदनी का पता लगा सकते हैं। ध्यान रहे कि आप आयकर कानून की धारा 80सी के तहत एक लाख रुपए तक की आमदनी पर टैक्स बचा सकते हैं। इस धारा के तहत कर्मचारी भविष्य निधि (ईपीएफ), पब्लिक प्रॉविडेंट फंड (पीपीएफ), राष्ट्रीय बचत प्रमाणपत्र (एनएससी), पांच वर्ष तक के लिए फिक्स्ड डिपॉजिट (एफडी), यूनिट लिंक्ड इंश्योरेंस प्लान (यूलिप) और इक्विटी लिंक्ड सेविंग स्कीम (ईएलएसएस) में निवेश कर टैक्स छूट हासिल की जा सकती है। फाइनेंशियल प्लानर गौरव मशरूवाला का कहना है, 'अगर आप इक्विटी में निवेश के साथ कर राहत भी चाहते हैं तो ईएलएसएस आपके लिए बेहतर जरिया हो सकता है।' यह स्कीम डायवर्सिफाइड इक्विटी फंड की तरह है, लेकिन इसमें तीन वर्ष की लॉक-इन अवधि होती है। कई जानकार धारा 80सी में शामिल बहुत से इंस्ट्रूमेंट की तुलना में बेहतर रिटर्न के लिए इक्विटी को तरजीह देते हैं। मनी केयर फाइनेंशियल प्लानिंग के प्रमुख जनखाना शाह के अनुसार, 'शेयर बाजार में इस समय कम कीमत में आकर्षक शेयर खरीदे जा सकते हैं। इन हालात में ईएलएसएस में निवेश करना ठीक रहेगा। इसमें तीन वर्ष के लिए निवेश लॉक रहेगा और इसके बाद ये स्कीम आपको अच्छा रिटर्न दे सकती हैं।' इसके साथ ही कर बचाने वाली पांच वर्ष की जमा योजना और एनएससी की तरह इस पर मैच्योरिटी पर मिलने पर ब्याज पर कर नहीं देना होता। ईएलएसएस में तीन वर्ष की लॉक इन अवधि के बाद मिलने वाला भुगतान कर मुक्त होता है। पीपीएफ भी इस लिहाज से अच्छा निवेश है। इसमें 8 फीसदी का रिटर्न मिलता है और मैच्योरिटी पर मिलने वाली रकम कर मुक्त होती है। इसमें 15 वर्ष की लॉक इन अवधि बड़ी बाधा है। यूलिप की बात की जाए तो आज के समय में निवेश के साथ ही बीमा की सुविधा को देखते हुए करदाता इसे पसंद करते हैं, लेकिन इसमें शुरुआती शुल्क और बाद के भुगतान की वजह से यह कुछ महंगी पड़ती है। दूसरी ओर ईएलएसएस में एजेंट को दी जाने वाली कमीशन कम होती है और निवेश के लिए अधिक राशि उपलब्ध रहती है। यूलिप लंबी अवधि का प्रोडक्ट है और इसमें निवेशक को 10-15 वर्ष के समय में ही अच्छा रिटर्न मिल पाता है। इसके उलट ईएलएसएस में आप तीन वर्ष के बाद अपनी यूनिट भुना सकते हैं। अन्य निवेश के मुकाबले ईएलएसएस फंड जहां फायदेमंद हैं, वहीं इनके साथ कुछ सीमाएं भी जुड़ी हैं। किसी भी अन्य इक्विटी आधारित प्रोडक्ट की तरह इनमें भी जोखिम शामिल रहता है। जोखिम न चाहने वाले निवेशकों के लिए इससे दूर रहने में ही समझदारी है। ईएलएसएस फंड को चुनने के मानक किसी इक्विटी डायवर्सिफाइड फंड के समान ही होते हैं। निवेशकों को फंड चुनने से पहले उसके ट्रैक रिकॉर्ड, फंड मैनेजर, फंड हाउस और जोखिम के बारे में जानकारी जुटानी चाहिए। ऐसा फंड चुनना बेहतर रहता है, जिसने बाजार के सभी दौर में लगातार अच्छा प्रदर्शन किया हो। उस फंड से बचें, जिसका पिछला रिकॉर्ड ज्यादा अच्छा नहीं है लेकिन इसके बावजूद इसने हाल के महीनों में अच्छा रिटर्न दिया है। ईटी म्यूचुअल फंड ट्रैकर पर नजर डाली जाए तो यह पता चलता है कि एसबीआई मैग्नम टैक्स गेन स्कीम 1993 और सुदंरम टैक्स सेवर को पिछली चार तिमाहियों से लगातार प्लैटिनम या गोल्ड स्कीम की रेटिंग मिलती रही है। इससे यह स्पष्ट होता है कि इन दोनों फंडों में बाजार में चुनौतीपूर्ण स्थितियों के बीच भी अपनी क्षमता को साबित किया है।
-प्रीति कुलकर्णी
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Inflation in India statistics
Inflation
Inflation in India 2009
In 2008 industry bodies, policy makers were all worried with the steadily-mounting inflation. The middle of the year augmented the tension as the majority of the population was wary of a double-digit inflation but things changed within few months. Inflation in
Understanding in the right manner inflation is such a situation when too many people chase too few goods and too few services, which automatically makes the prices of the goods and services high because of the high demand. At the same time, when inflation falls below the desired mark (in the negative territory), then too few people chase too many goods and too many services, making the prices of the goods and services under-priced.
The
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